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Trump’s Oil Sanction Waiver Causes Recession in Iran

Iran’s economic system abbreviated by 4.9% in the 2018-2019 year resulted in March, slipping further into recession as diminishing oil exports because of the U.S. approvals are denying the Islamic Republic of its financial lifeline—oil revenues.

The 4.9% abbreviation between March 2018 and March 2019, described by the Statistical Center of Iran cited by VOA, may worsen even further because the U.S. eliminated all sanction waivers for Iranian oil traders as of May 2.

After the U.S. ended all sanction waivers for Iran’s oil prospects on May 2, Iran’s crude oil exports declined significantly in May in comparison with April and fallen by over 2 million bpd off their 2.5-million-bpd high in April 2018, only before the U.S. departed from the Iran nuclear deal and shifted to re-impose penalties on Iran’s oil industry.

Iran is considering revising its monetary and budgetary policies to take away oil earnings from them as a way to “counter Washington’s financial sanctions that constitute a case of terrorism,” Iran’s International Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said last week.

Oil revenue is an essential part of Iran’s state revenues, and the plunging crude exports are damaging the economy.

Based on the International Monetary Fund, Iran’s economic system is anticipated to contract by 6% this 12 months, whereas the annual surge will rise to 37.2%.

A World Bank report from earlier this month reported that Iran’s annual inflation had risen from about 10% in the midst of 2018 to about 52% in April 2019, “contributed by a depreciation of the rial within the similar market of over two-fold in comparison with levels before the announcement of U.S. sanctions in April 2018.”

The World Bank sees Iran’s gross domestic product (GDP) plunging by 4.5% in 2019 after an envisioned fall of 1.9% in 2018.

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